Results Show Tight Trump-Biden Race in Key States

Early US presidential election results between incumbent Republican Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger Joe Biden indicate a close contest in a number of battleground states, BBC reports.

Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in the potentially pivotal Florida race with almost all votes counted.

But there are other key states in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Ohio, Texas, and North Carolina.

The vote caps a long and bitter race.

More than 100 million voters cast their ballots early on Tuesday before the election day, setting the U.S. to the highest turnout in a century.

The influence of Congress is also at stake. Like the White House, the Republicans are fighting to hold on to a majority in the Senate.

The House of Representatives is expected to stay in Democratic hands.

What are the results so far?

The battlegrounds in the Rust Belt of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio look as though they could go either way in the White House race.

The sunbelt states of Arizona and Texas, once reliably Republican, are also toss-ups. A Biden win in Texas would be a political earthquake.

Nail-biting counts are also under way in two more critical swing states on the East Coast, Georgia and North Carolina.

Both Florida and Pennsylvania are considered must-wins for Mr Trump if he is to be re-elected to a second term in office.

No surprises have emerged yet in the other states.

The BBC projects Mr Trump will hold on to Alabama, Indiana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Kentucky, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Arkansas and West Virginia, all as expected.

The BBC also projects Mr Biden will keep his home state of Delaware, along with New York, Colorado, Vermont, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Washington DC in his column.

CBS News, the BBC's US partner, projects South Carolina, Nebraska, Kansas, Louisiana, and Wyoming are leaning Mr Trump's way.

CBS also projects Minnesota, New Mexico, Maine, Connecticut, Illinois, Rhode Island and New Hampshire are trending towards Mr Biden.

Mr Trump narrowly lost Minnesota in 2016 and his campaign is hoping to pick it up this time.

Voting ends on the US West Coast at 23:00 EST (04:00 GMT on Wednesday).

Exit poll data suggest Mr Biden had the edge with women voters by 57% to 42%, with black voters (87% to 11%), with under-29 year olds (64% to 33%) and among voters with or without a college degree.

Mr Trump appeared to hold the advantage with over 65 year olds (51% to 48%).

National opinion polls gave a firm lead to Mr Biden, but pointed to a closer race in the handful of states that are likely to decide the outcome.

Mr Trump, who is watching the returns from the White House, is expected to address the nation later on Tuesday evening.

Mr Biden was at his home with family in Wilmington, Delaware, with few aides around, according to CBS.

Projections are based on a mixture of exit poll data and, in most cases, actual votes counted - and are only made where there is a high degree of certainty.

In the US election, voters decide state-level contests rather than an overall, single, national one.

Appearing earlier on election day in Delaware, Mr Biden said he was "hopeful" and highlighted the "overwhelming turnout particularly of young people, of women".

A senior Biden adviser told CBS the Biden team "feel good". Florida was in the balance, but Democratic numbers were strong in a swathe of swing states, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona, said the aide.

Speaking in Virginia earlier, Mr Trump said he expected "a great night".

An exit poll conducted by Edison Research and just published by Reuters suggests that four out of 10 voters nationally think the handling of the coronavirus pandemic in the US is "going very badly".

A third of voters cited the economy as the issue that most concerned them, according to the poll.

Both candidates have been using election day as an opportunity to drive home the messages they have been hammering to voters for the last few weeks.

The two rivals have radically different policies on key issues. They have clashed bitterly during the campaign over how to handle the Covid-19 pandemic, and how to best handle the economy during this difficult period.

Mr Biden has accused Mr Trump of a haphazard response to the pandemic that he says has needlessly cost too many lives. But Mr Trump has downplayed the impact of Covid-19, saying the country is "rounding the corner".

Mr Trump's term has also been marked by contentious immigration policies.

Earlier on Tuesday, Mr Trump, sounding a little hoarse, spoke to Fox News by phone, saying he felt good about his chances of victory and predicting he would win "big" in key states such as Florida and Arizona.

"I think we have a really solid chance of winning," he said. Asked when he would declare victory, he added: "When there's victory. If there's victory... there's no reason to play games."

Mr Biden also visited his childhood home in Scranton in Pennsylvania - a key swing state - and addressed a crowd in the town, saying: "We've got to restore the backbone to this country. The middle class built this country - Wall Street didn't."

How will the election work?

In order to be elected president, a candidate must win at least 270 votes in what is called an electoral college. Each U.S. state receives a certain number of votes, partly on the basis of its population, and a total of 538 votes are taken.

This system explains why it is possible for a candidate to win the greatest number of votes nationally-as Hillary Clinton did in 2016-but yet lose the election.

Control of the Senate is also at stake in these elections, with the Democrats seeking to gain control of both houses of Congress and the White House for the first time since early in Barack Obama's first term.

Coronavirus has at times overshadowed the campaign, with the pandemic in the US worsening over the final weeks. The country has recorded more cases and more deaths than anywhere else in the world, and fear of infection has contributed to an unprecedented surge in early and postal voting.

There are fears that pockets of post-election violence could break out as the results come in.

A new "non-scalable" fence has been put up around the White House in Washington DC. Businesses in the nation's capital and also in New York City have been seen boarding up their premises due to concerns about unrest.

In the last hours of the campaign, Twitter and Facebook labelled a post by President Trump as "misleading", after he claimed that postal ballots in Pennsylvania could lead to rampant fraud. The social media giants also added a link to a website explaining why mail-in votes were safe.

The US Supreme Court ruled Pennsylvania could count postal ballots received three days after the election. Mr Trump and his campaign indicated they would sue to block the move.

Legal fights over ballots have also been unfolding in Minnesota, North Carolina and Texas.

Who decides which candidate wins a state?

The final election results don't get certified for days or even weeks, so it falls to US media organisations to predict, or project, the winner in each state much sooner. Teams of election experts and statisticians analyse a mixture of information such as exit poll data - interviews at polling stations and phone calls with early voters - and actual votes counted. In a state that always votes for one party, the results are sometimes projected as soon as voting ends, based on exit polls. In a closer contest, however, the data will draw heavily on the actual count.

This year the BBC gets its data from polling firm Edison Research who do the field work for the exit polls and work with US networks, ABC, CBS, CNN and NBC. Record levels of early voting have complicated this count, so there is no race to be first. If the BBC and its partners don't believe there is enough data to project a winner, they won't - even if others are doing so.

When will we get a result?

It can take a few days for every vote to be counted after every US presidential election, but it is normally very obvious who the winner will be early in the morning.

However, officials are already predicting that we will have to wait longer-possibly days, even weeks-for the results this year because of the anticipated rise in postal ballots.

Different states have different rules on how-and when-to count postal ballots, which ensures that there would be wide differences between them in terms of reporting results. It will take weeks in some states to get the full results.

The last time the outcome was not clear within a few hours was in 2000, when the winner, George W. Bush, was not confirmed until a decision of the Supreme Court was taken a month later.

The president is to host an election night party inside the White House with about 400 guests invited.

Up to 10,000 protesters are expected to gather at the renamed Black Lives Matter Plaza and a park in Washington DC, not far from the White House, according to CBS News.

Mr Biden and Ms Harris will watch the election night returns in the former vice-president's hometown of Wilmington, Delaware.